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Book
Political risk
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ISBN: 0903121336 9780903121330 Year: 1982 Publisher: London Euromoney


Book
Economie du risque pays
Authors: ---
ISBN: 2707142034 9782707142030 Year: 2005 Volume: 421 Publisher: Paris : La Découverte,

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Abstract

Comment un investisseur ou un banquier peuvent-ils analyser leurs risques dans un pays émergent ? Quelles sont les fragilités macro-économiques susceptibles d'affecter la rentabilité d'une opération ? Le risque pays propose une méthode de diagnostic et une sélection des indicateurs les plus pertinents pour identifier les vulnérabilités d'une économie. Il permet de classer les pays selon l'intensité de leurs risques, ou encore de tester la vulnérabilité d'un portefeuille d'engagements en fonction de différents scénarios. Ce type d'analyse est désormais incontournable dès qu'il s'agit d'opérer dans un pays émergent, ce qui est de plus en plus fréquent. Ce livre est la première synthèse réalisée sur le risque pays. Il est le fruit de quinze ans d'expérience de terrain.

Modelling the riskiness in country risk ratings.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 9780444518378 0444518371 0080458386 9780080458380 6610633991 9786610633999 Year: 2005 Publisher: Amsterdam Elsevier

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The importance of country risk is underscored by the existence of several prominent country risk rating agencies. These agencies combine information regarding alternative measures of economic, financial and political risk into associated composite risk ratings. As the accuracy of such country risk measures is open to question, it is necessary to analyse the agency rating systems to enable an evaluation of the importance and relevance of agency risk ratings. The book focuses on the rating system of the international country risk guide. Time series data permit a comparative assessment of risk ratings for 120 countries, and highlight the importance of economic, financial and political risk ratings as components of a composite risk rating. The book analyses various univariate and multivariate risk returns and corresponding symmetric and asymmetric models of conditional volatility, as well as conditional correlations.


Book
Foreign investment and political regimes : the oil sector in Azerbaijan, Russia, and Norway.
Author:
ISBN: 9780521425889 9780511676048 9781107436923 Year: 2010 Publisher: Cambridge Cambridge University

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"Political democratization and economic globalization have been two of the most important global trends of the past few decades. But, how are they connected? Do the domestic political institutions affect a country's attractiveness to foreign investors? Can countries that democratize attract relatively more foreign investments? Drawing on three in-depth case studies of oil-rich countries and statistical analyses of 132 countries over three decades, Oksan Bayulgen demonstrates that the link between democratization and FDI is nonlinear. Both authoritarian regimes and consolidated democracies have institutional capabilities that, though different, are attractive to foreign investors. Democracies can provide long-term stability, and authoritarian regimes can offer considerable flexibility. The regimes that have started on the road to democracy, but have not yet completed it, tend to have political institutions that provide neither flexibility nor stability. These hybrid regimes, then, also find it relatively more difficult to construct a policy environment that is attractive to foreign investments. These findings have deep implications for the link between democratization and globalization, but also how globalization may affect political, social, and economic development"--Provided by publisher.

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