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Comment un investisseur ou un banquier peuvent-ils analyser leurs risques dans un pays émergent ? Quelles sont les fragilités macro-économiques susceptibles d'affecter la rentabilité d'une opération ? Le risque pays propose une méthode de diagnostic et une sélection des indicateurs les plus pertinents pour identifier les vulnérabilités d'une économie. Il permet de classer les pays selon l'intensité de leurs risques, ou encore de tester la vulnérabilité d'un portefeuille d'engagements en fonction de différents scénarios. Ce type d'analyse est désormais incontournable dès qu'il s'agit d'opérer dans un pays émergent, ce qui est de plus en plus fréquent. Ce livre est la première synthèse réalisée sur le risque pays. Il est le fruit de quinze ans d'expérience de terrain.
Country risk --- Risk management --- Investments, Foreign --- Risque pays --- Gestion du risque --- Investissements étrangers --- AA / International- internationaal --- 336.312.3 --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden. --- Investissements étrangers --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden
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International finance --- AA / International- internationaal --- 336.311.2 --- 339.115 --- 336.312.3 --- Buitenlandse leningen van de overheid. --- Buitenlandse schuld. Debt Equity Swap in LDC. --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden. --- Buitenlandse leningen van de overheid --- Buitenlandse schuld. Debt Equity Swap in LDC --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden
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International finance --- Country risk --- Mathematical models. --- -#SBIB:328H10 --- AA / International- internationaal --- 336.312.3 --- 333.109 --- Country risk, Political --- Political risk (Foreign investments) --- Risk --- Mathematical models --- Instellingen en beleid: algemeen / comparatief / derde wereldlanden --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden. --- Veiligheid. Bankovervallen. Bankrisico's. --- #SBIB:328H10 --- Veiligheid. Bankovervallen. Bankrisico's --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden --- Country risk - Mathematical models
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The importance of country risk is underscored by the existence of several prominent country risk rating agencies. These agencies combine information regarding alternative measures of economic, financial and political risk into associated composite risk ratings. As the accuracy of such country risk measures is open to question, it is necessary to analyse the agency rating systems to enable an evaluation of the importance and relevance of agency risk ratings. The book focuses on the rating system of the international country risk guide. Time series data permit a comparative assessment of risk ratings for 120 countries, and highlight the importance of economic, financial and political risk ratings as components of a composite risk rating. The book analyses various univariate and multivariate risk returns and corresponding symmetric and asymmetric models of conditional volatility, as well as conditional correlations.
AA / International- internationaal --- 336.312.3 --- 330.3 --- Country risk --- -332.1 --- Country risk, Political --- Political risk (Foreign investments) --- Risk --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden --- Methode in staathuishoudkunde. Statische, dynamische economie. Modellen. Experimental economics --- Mathematical models --- -Mathematical models
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International economic relations --- Country risk --- Risque pays --- Country risk. --- 339.72 --- AA / International- internationaal --- 339.115 --- 336.312.3 --- 333.109 --- 339.4 --- Buitenlandse schuld. Debt Equity Swap in LDC. --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden. --- Veiligheid. Bankovervallen. Bankrisico's. --- Vermogensbeheer. Financiële analyse. Verspreiding van de beleggingsrisico's. --- Buitenlandse schuld. Debt Equity Swap in LDC --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden --- Veiligheid. Bankovervallen. Bankrisico's --- Vermogensbeheer. Financiële analyse. Verspreiding van de beleggingsrisico's --- COMMERCE INTERNATIONAL --- RISQUE-PAYS --- GESTION BANCAIRE --- GESTION DU RISQUE
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Banken --- Banques --- Banks and banking --- Banks and banking, International. --- Country risk. --- 336.3 --- AA / International- internationaal --- 336.312.3 --- 333.109 --- bankwezen --- beurswezen --- exportverzekeringen --- financiën, internationaal --- kapitaalmarkt, internationaal --- mathematische modellen, toegepast op economie --- risicoverzekeringen --- risk management --- Nationale schulden. Staatsschulden. Openbare schulden. Staatslening. Staatsfondsen. Staatsbankroet --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden. --- Veiligheid. Bankovervallen. Bankrisico's. --- 336.3 Nationale schulden. Staatsschulden. Openbare schulden. Staatslening. Staatsfondsen. Staatsbankroet --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden --- Veiligheid. Bankovervallen. Bankrisico's --- Risque-pays
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Banks and banking, International --- Country risk --- International business enterprises --- Banques internationales --- Risque pays --- Entreprises multinationales --- Finance --- Finances --- AA / International- internationaal --- 382.254 --- 336.312.3 --- Internationale kredieten. --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden. --- Country risk, Political --- Political risk (Foreign investments) --- International banking --- Offshore banking (Finance) --- Transnational banking --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden --- Internationale kredieten --- Risk --- Financial institutions, International --- International finance --- International business enterprises - Finance
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AA / International- internationaal --- FR / France - Frankrijk --- 368.611 --- 336.312.3 --- 368.612 --- Insurance, Credit --- Risk assessment --- 332.7 --- Dc3.i --- Analysis, Risk --- Assessment, Risk --- Risk analysis --- Risk evaluation --- Evaluation --- Consumer credit insurance --- Loan insurance --- Insurance --- Bankdepositoverzekering. Kredietverzekering. Waarborg op bankdeposito's. Delcredere. --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden. --- Verzekeringen van internationale kredieten en van investeringen. --- Bankdepositoverzekering. Kredietverzekering. Waarborg op bankdeposito's. Delcredere --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden --- Verzekeringen van internationale kredieten en van investeringen --- Assurance crédit
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"Political democratization and economic globalization have been two of the most important global trends of the past few decades. But, how are they connected? Do the domestic political institutions affect a country's attractiveness to foreign investors? Can countries that democratize attract relatively more foreign investments? Drawing on three in-depth case studies of oil-rich countries and statistical analyses of 132 countries over three decades, Oksan Bayulgen demonstrates that the link between democratization and FDI is nonlinear. Both authoritarian regimes and consolidated democracies have institutional capabilities that, though different, are attractive to foreign investors. Democracies can provide long-term stability, and authoritarian regimes can offer considerable flexibility. The regimes that have started on the road to democracy, but have not yet completed it, tend to have political institutions that provide neither flexibility nor stability. These hybrid regimes, then, also find it relatively more difficult to construct a policy environment that is attractive to foreign investments. These findings have deep implications for the link between democratization and globalization, but also how globalization may affect political, social, and economic development"--Provided by publisher.
NO / Norway - Noorwegen - Norvège --- RU / Russia - Rusland - Russie --- AZ / Azerbaijan - Azerbaidzjan - Azerbaidjan --- 339.113 --- 338.731 --- 336.312.3 --- Buitenlandse investeringen. --- Aardolie. Aardolieschok. --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden. --- Investments, Foreign --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Capital exports --- Capital imports --- FDI (Foreign direct investment) --- Foreign direct investment --- Foreign investment --- Foreign investments --- International investment --- Offshore investments --- Outward investments --- Solvabiliteit, kredietwaardigheid van de landen. Risicolanden --- Aardolie. Aardolieschok --- Buitenlandse investeringen --- Energy industries --- Oil industries --- Capital movements --- Investments
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